{"id":35380,"date":"2025-12-18T15:40:17","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T07:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/?p=35380"},"modified":"2025-12-31T15:59:24","modified_gmt":"2025-12-31T07:59:24","slug":"2026-hk-export-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wechat\/2026-hk-export-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"2026\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u53e3\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u201cAI\u5f15\u64ce\u201d\u6216\u9a71\u52a88%-9%\u9ad8\u589e\u957f"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"35380\" class=\"elementor elementor-35380\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-ca54198 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"ca54198\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-90f1da8\" data-id=\"90f1da8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ee467c4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ee467c4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>2026\u5e74\u9999\u6e2f\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u524d\u666f\u7ee7\u7eed\u5411\u597d\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u6709\u671b\u9ad8\u8fbe8\u81f39%\uff1b\u867d\u4f01\u4e1a\u56e0\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u63aa\u65bd\u63d0\u524d\u51fa\u8d27\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad82025\u5e74\u6bd4\u8f83\u57fa\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u9884\u8ba1\u5347\u52bf\u4ecd\u53ef\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002<\/p><p>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u81f4\u8d38\u6613\u73af\u5883\u4e0d\u660e\u6717\u60c5\u51b5\u4f3c\u5df2\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u4ece2025\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u51fa\u53e3\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4e2d\u53ef\u89c1\u4e00\u6591\u300211\u6708\u521d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8fbe\u6210\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u53ca\u622a\u81f38\u6708\u591a\u56fd\u4e0e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u8fbe\u6210\u6298\u8877\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u8ba9\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u6682\u677e\u4e00\u53e3\u6c14\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u672a\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u5217\u51652026\u5e74\u4e09\u5927\u5173\u6ce8\u4e8b\u9879\u4e4b\u5217\u3002<\/p><p>2026\u5e74\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5404\u5730\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u7387\u6709\u522b\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u7f8e\u51fa\u53e3\u5177\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\u7b49\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6216\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u5546\u754c\u5236\u5b9a\u957f\u8fdc\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4f18\u5316\u5176\u4e1a\u52a1\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p><p>\u57282025\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u81f32026\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u8f93\u5f80\u7f8e\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u7387\u4e3a20%[1]\uff0c\u537310%\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e\u52a010%\u82ac\u592a\u5c3c\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u989d\u5916\u5173\u7a0e\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3a\u4f4e\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709\u8f83\u5b8c\u5584\u6210\u719f\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3a\u57fa\u5730\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u4e0d\u4f46\u4e0e\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u4f17\u591a\u540c\u4e1a\u770b\u9f50\uff0c\u8f83\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u5177\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7ebd5f9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7ebd5f9\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-54ce558\" data-id=\"54ce558\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ef9feb1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ef9feb1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>2025<\/strong><strong>\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u80dc\u9884\u671f<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u56de\u987e\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u999610\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u53e3\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f13.8%\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u7ecf\u8d38\u7814\u7a76\u5148\u524d\u9884\u6d4b2025\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u589e\u957f7\u81f39%\u3002\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u4ee4\u4eba\u60ca\u559c\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u524d\u6587\u63d0\u53ca\u7684\u63d0\u524d\u51fa\u8d27\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u5728\u4e8eAI\u8d4b\u80fd\u7684\u7535\u5b50\u88c5\u7f6e\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u7535\u8111\u8bbe\u5907\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1\uff09\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u65fa\u76db\uff08\u89c1\u88681\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u73a9\u5177\u53ca\u6e38\u620f\u4e1a\u51fa\u53e3\u57282024\u5e74\u66b4\u8dcc21.8%\u540e\u5f3a\u52b2\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u999610\u4e2a\u6708\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f\u8fbe33.2%\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u4ee52025\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u603b\u51fa\u53e3\u5c06\u589e\u957f\u7ea613%\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-bcfe40c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"bcfe40c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-e470d16\" data-id=\"e470d16\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-53b94eb elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"53b94eb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"918\" height=\"229\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35383\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5.jpeg 918w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5-600x150.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5-768x192.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 918px) 100vw, 918px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u88685\uff1a\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u53e3\u7684AI\u76f8\u5173\u4e0e\u975eAI\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9aa6097 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9aa6097\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5d0d36d\" data-id=\"5d0d36d\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8479705 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8479705\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4e00<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u56de\u987e\u9999\u6e2f\u5404\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u53ef\u8c13\u6709\u597d\u6709\u574f\uff08\u89c1\u88682\uff09\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c2025\u5e74\u999610\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u548c\u4e1c\u76df\u8fd9\u4e24\u5927\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u5206\u522b\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f15.8%\u53ca31.6%\uff0c\u589e\u5e45\u5747\u8fbe\u5230\u53cc\u4f4d\u6570\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9664\u97e9\u56fd\u5916\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4e5f\u5f55\u5f97\u589e\u957f\u3002\u540c\u671f\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u6e29\u548c\u4e0a\u53473.1%\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b27\u76df\u5219\u4e0b\u964d2.9%\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9403d9b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9403d9b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3402a28\" data-id=\"3402a28\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-89ccb59 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"89ccb59\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"918\" height=\"319\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35387\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2.jpeg 918w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-600x208.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-768x267.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 918px) 100vw, 918px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u88682\uff1a\u9999\u6e2f\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\uff08\u6309\u4e3b\u8981\u5e02\u573a\u5212\u5206\uff09<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c041a65 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c041a65\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-c70af94\" data-id=\"c70af94\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0d5762d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"0d5762d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>2026<\/strong><strong>\u5e74\u51fa\u53e3\u524d\u666f\u5927\u81f4\u4e50\u89c2<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u00a0<\/p><h3><strong>01 <\/strong><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u51b2\u51fb\u5c06\u5728<\/strong><strong>2026<\/strong><strong>\u5e74\u6d6e\u73b0<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u5c06\u57282026\u5e74\u6d6e\u73b0\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u8d38\u6613\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5df2\u57282025\u5e7410\u6708\u8c03\u4f4e2026\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b[2]\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece2.5%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3\u4ec50.5%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u9884\u6599\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u5927\u5e45\u51cf\u5c11\uff08\u89c1\u88683\uff09\u3002\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u6b64\u6b21\u8c03\u6574\u6e90\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u7531\u4e8e\u4f01\u4e1a\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u843d\u5b9e\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u524d\u7eb7\u7eb7\u63d0\u524d\u91c7\u8d2d\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u5f71\u54cd\u88ab\u63a8\u8fdf\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-23dde11 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"23dde11\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-551c74f\" data-id=\"551c74f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-80aa10f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"80aa10f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"920\" height=\"488\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35390\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3.jpeg 920w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-600x318.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-768x407.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 920px) 100vw, 920px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u88683\uff1a\u4e16\u754c\u8d38\u6613\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5bf9\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1d02dde elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1d02dde\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-15e86d2\" data-id=\"15e86d2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a50a781 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a50a781\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3><strong>02 <\/strong><strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u867d\u7136\u5f53\u524d\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u73af\u5883\u8f832025\u5e74\u521d\u660e\u6717\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u63aa\u65bd\u4ecd\u7136\u5e26\u6765\u8bb8\u591a\u53d8\u6570\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0cTrade Policy Uncertainty Index\uff08\u7b80\u79f0TPU\uff09[3]\u4e5f\u6e05\u6670\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u867d\u7136\u5df2\u4ece2025\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u5386\u6765\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\uff08\u89c1\u56fe1\uff09\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-75ac3ad elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"75ac3ad\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-226c41e\" data-id=\"226c41e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-11df395 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"11df395\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"595\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-1024x595.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35388\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-1024x595.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-600x349.jpg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-768x447.jpg 768w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2.jpg 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5babe5f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5babe5f\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f88c3e8\" data-id=\"f88c3e8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-31f8bbd elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"31f8bbd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u867d\u7136\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e\u5df2\u62cd\u677f\u5b9a\u6848\uff0c\u4e14\u65b0\u5173\u7a0e\u7387\u5df2\u57288\u6708\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u800c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u5219\u4e8e11\u6708\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u591a\u79cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u300c232\u6761\u6b3e\u300d\u8c03\u67e5\u4ecd\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u3002\u9884\u6599\u534e\u5e9c\u672a\u6765\u6570\u6708\u5c06\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u76f8\u5173\u7279\u5b9a\u4ea7\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u5c40\u52bf\u70fd\u70df\u518d\u8d77\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6f5c\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h3><strong>03 <\/strong><strong>\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u5dee\u5f02\u6216\u6709\u5229\u5728\u534e\u7ecf\u8425\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u540c\u6837\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u5dee\u5f02\u4f7f\u67d0\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u5bf9\u7f8e\u51fa\u53e3\u65b9\u9762\u62e5\u6709\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u57282025\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u81f32026\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u8f93\u7f8e\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u9002\u7528\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u4e3a20%\uff0810%\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e+10%\u82ac\u592a\u5c3c\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7a0e\uff09\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709\u8f83\u5b8c\u5584\u6210\u719f\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\uff0c\u800c\u73b0\u9636\u6bb5\u7684\u989d\u5916\u5173\u7a0e\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u5185\u5730\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u53ef\u4e0e\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u591a\u6570\u540c\u4e1a\u770b\u9f50\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77\u5173\u7a0e\u7387\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u66f4\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u4f18\u52bf\uff08\u89c1\u88684\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u60c5\u51b5\u52bf\u5fc5\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u4f17\u591a\u5546\u754c\u9886\u8896\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u957f\u8fdc\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u6539\u5584\u5176\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e1a\u52a1\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c521e9a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c521e9a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6489ef2\" data-id=\"6489ef2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d8584e1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d8584e1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"511\" height=\"485\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-4.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35382\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u88684\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u5bf9\u7b49\u5173\u7a0e<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2af404f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2af404f\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-8ba175e\" data-id=\"8ba175e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d9dfdb0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d9dfdb0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5>* \u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u53e6\u987b\u7f34\u7eb3\u82ac\u592a\u5c3c\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u6839\u636ethe Peterson Institute for International Economics\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u9996\u5c4a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5173\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a20%\u3002<\/h5><h5>#\u5370\u5ea6\u56e0\u7ee7\u7eed\u8fdb\u53e3\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c\u906d\u7f8e\u56fd\u989d\u5916\u52a0\u5f8125%\u7684\u60e9\u7f5a\u6027\u4e8c\u7ea7\u5173\u7a0e\u3002<\/h5><h5>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u767d\u5bab<\/h5>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-97d3f69 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"97d3f69\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-872dd4b\" data-id=\"872dd4b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8f68b3a elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8f68b3a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>AI<\/strong><strong>\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u9700\u6c42<\/strong><strong>\u6301\u7eed\u63a8\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u4ece\u4ea7\u54c1\u7ed3\u6784\u6765\u770b\uff0cAI\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1[4]\u662f2025\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u5176\u5411\u597d\u52bf\u5934\u5c06\u5728\u6574\u4e2a2026\u5e74\u6301\u7eed\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4e16\u8d38\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2025\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u5168\u7403AI\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u603b\u503c\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f\u903e\u4e24\u6210\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u5168\u7403\u5546\u54c1\u8d38\u6613\u603b\u503c\u76846.0%\u589e\u5e45\u3002<\/p><p>\u7535\u5b50\u4e1a\u5360\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u53e3\u603b\u503c\u903e\u4e03\u6210\uff0c\u73b0\u65f6\u5c24\u5176\u53d7\u60e0\u4e8eAI\u6d6a\u6f6e\u5e26\u52a8\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u3002\u57282025\u5e74\u999610\u4e2a\u6708\uff0cAI\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u98d9\u534722.0%\uff08\u89c1\u88685\uff09\u3002\u9274\u4e8eAI\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6570\u7801\u8f6c\u578b\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f\u7126\u70b9\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u52bf\u5fc5\u6210\u4e3a\u9999\u6e2f\u672a\u6765\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff08\u89c1\u56fe2\uff09<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c8f01f3 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c8f01f3\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-e6e1db4\" data-id=\"e6e1db4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-61c858e elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"61c858e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"918\" height=\"229\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35383\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5.jpeg 918w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5-600x150.jpeg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-5-768x192.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 918px) 100vw, 918px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u88685\uff1a\u9999\u6e2f\u51fa\u53e3\u7684AI\u76f8\u5173\u4e0e\u975eAI\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-d876854 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"d876854\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-b1369d9\" data-id=\"b1369d9\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-67f9c1f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"67f9c1f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"603\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-1024x603.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35391\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-1024x603.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-600x354.jpg 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3-768x453.jpg 768w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-3.jpg 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u56fe2:\u9999\u6e2f\u7684AI\u76f8\u5173\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\uff08\u5360\u6bd4%\uff09<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-58015a5 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"58015a5\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-4ea5572\" data-id=\"4ea5572\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d8702e2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d8702e2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u4ea7\u4e1a\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2025\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5168\u7403\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u9500\u91cf\u6bd4\u4e0a\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f25.1%\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u3001\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5f55\u5f9718.2%\u53ca19.9%\uff0c\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u9500\u91cf\u589e\u957f\u7387\u662f\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u53ef\u671b\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6307\u6807\uff08\u89c1\u56fe3\uff09\u3002\u534f\u4f1a\u76ee\u524d\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2026\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u9500\u552e\u989d\u5c06\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u52a0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc725%\uff0c\u800c2025\u5e74\u7684\u589e\u5e45\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a22.9%[5]\uff0c\u5bf9\u9999\u6e2f\u7535\u5b50\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u5b9e\u5c5e\u4f73\u97f3\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9e2938d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9e2938d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0baa3cd\" data-id=\"0baa3cd\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-80c4b2f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"80c4b2f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"630\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-1-1024x630.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35386\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-1-1024x630.png 1024w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-1-600x369.png 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-1-768x473.png 768w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-1.png 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u56fe3\uff1a\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u9500\u552e\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff08\u6309\u5730\u533a\u5212\u5206\uff0c\u6309\u5e74\u589e\u51cf\uff09<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-37002df elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"37002df\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-84b2e72\" data-id=\"84b2e72\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2b79ab1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2b79ab1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u76842025\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u51fa\u53e3\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u51fa\u53e3\u5546(53.2%)\u8ba4\u4e3aAI\/\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u76f8\u5173\u7535\u5b50\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u9700\u6c42\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a2026\u5e74\u63a8\u52a8\u4e1a\u52a1\u589e\u957f\u7684\u9996\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p><p>\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u4e8e2025\u5e7410\u6708\u9999\u6e2f\u79cb\u5b63\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u5c55\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u8c03\u67e5\u540c\u6837\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a2026\u5e74\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u6709\u671b\u6301\u7eed\u5411\u597d\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c51%\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u9884\u671f\u672a\u676512\u81f324\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u9500\u552e\u989d\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u589e\u957f\uff0c46%\u9884\u671f\u7ef4\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff08\u89c1\u56fe4\uff09\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6491fc1 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6491fc1\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-eef682b\" data-id=\"eef682b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dfe200c elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"dfe200c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"581\" src=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-1024x581.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-35389\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-1024x581.png 1024w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-600x341.png 600w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2-768x436.png 768w, https:\/\/newsbites.hktdc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/2026-hk-export-forecast-2.png 1300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">\u56fe4:\u9999\u6e2f\u79cb\u5b63\u7535\u5b50\u4ea7\u54c1\u5c55\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u7684\u9884\u8ba1\u9500\u552e\u8868\u73b0<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-205b417 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"205b417\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0962fa5\" data-id=\"0962fa5\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6d273f7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6d273f7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u9884\u8ba1\u6765\u5e74\u589e\u52bf\u5f3a\u52b2<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u7efc\u5408\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u8d38\u53d1\u5c40\u7ecf\u8d38\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u9999\u6e2f2026\u5e74\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5373\u4f7f2025\u5e74\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u57fa\u6570\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u51fa\u53e3\u4ecd\u53ef\u671b\u589e\u957f8\u81f39%\uff08\u89c1\u56fe5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f4666d9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" 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